The study clarifies the provisions on wave and energy theories of cycli- cal economic development. On the basis of a wave hypothesis of functioning of regional economy theoretical model of dynamics of a gross regional product per capita opening the power economic mechanism of fluctuations and internal reorganization of process of its production and consumption in power technological and economic system is offered. Economic potential is studied taking into account anthropogenic energy, energy technology and labor costs for re-innovation and reproduction, as well as energy economic productivity of regional gross product per capita is investigated. Developed forecast model uses wave properties of economic processes related to peri- odic and quasi-periodic cycles, reproduced with varying degrees of accura- cy. Its use, taking into account the demand for products, allows objectifying private properties and formalizing the idea of changing the volume of gross regional product per capita. It reveals energy-economic mechanism of fluc- tuations and internal restructuring of the process of its production and con- sumption in the energy technology and economic system. Visual analysis of wave processes typical for the territories of the Siberian Federal district showed that the functions are cyclic, but not periodic, since the amplitude of oscillations changes over time and the crests shift in phase occurs. It also provides analytical forecast for analytical approach of economic growth in administrative territories until 2019. Projected decrease in the rate of growth of the gross regional product per capita in Krasnoyarsk Territory, the Republic of Khakassia, the Republic of Tuva determines the need to re- duce energy technology costs by using innovative energy-efficient technolo- gies and technical means, the increase in the production of existing products and solve the problem of production of new products taking into account their demand on the market.
gross regional product, forecast, production, economic growth and gain, power and economic mechanism, power and technological and economic wave processes, production
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